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Thursday, August 03, 2006


Is Lieberman Cratering?   [George Conway]

Yes, indeed — if a new Quinnipiac poll (890 LVs, MOE +/- 3.3%) has it right:
4. If the 2006 Democratic primary for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Joseph Lieberman and Ned Lamont for whom would you vote? (If undecided q4) As of today, do you lean more toward Lieberman or Lamont? This table includes Leaners.
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS.......
Tot Men Wom Lib Mod/Con
Lieberman 41% 40% 43% 31% 49%
Lamont 54 55 53 66 45
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - -
DK/NA 5 5 5 3 6
TREND: If the 2006 Democratic primary for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Joseph Lieberman and Ned Lamont, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Lieberman or Lamont? This table includes Leaners.
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS.......
Aug 3 Jul 20 Jun 8
2006 2006 2006
Lieberman 41 47 55
Lamont 54 51 40
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - -
DK/NA 5 2 4
4c. (If candidate choice q4) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS
JL NL
Tot Voters Voters

Made up 85% 83% 88%
Might change 14 16 12
DK/NA 1 1 -



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